Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.000333 0.000374 0.000418 0.000469 0.000527 0.000591 0.000667
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.000263 0.000322 0.000391 0.000480 0.000592 0.000728 0.000906
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.000219 0.000285 0.000370 0.000486 0.000642 0.000846 0.001138
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.000180 0.000246 0.000335 0.000464 0.000649 0.000906 0.001297
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.000159 0.000226 0.000322 0.000467 0.000685 0.001007 0.001525
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.000147 0.000218 0.000322 0.000487 0.000748 0.001153 0.001841
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.000130 0.000199 0.000304 0.000477 0.000761 0.001222 0.002044
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.000113 0.000178 0.000279 0.000453 0.000750 0.001248 0.002176
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.000105 0.000169 0.000274 0.000458 0.000785 0.001357 0.002469
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000100 0.000167 0.000278 0.000480 0.000852 0.001528 0.002902
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000092 0.000157 0.000267 0.000475 0.000868 0.001608 0.003171
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000086 0.000150 0.000262 0.000478 0.000901 0.001725 0.003532
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000079 0.000140 0.000251 0.000470 0.000913 0.001805 0.003839
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000074 0.000135 0.000247 0.000476 0.000954 0.001951 0.004319
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000069 0.000129 0.000242 0.000480 0.000991 0.002095 0.004823
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000062 0.000118 0.000226 0.000459 0.000972 0.002113 0.005030
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000059 0.000113 0.000222 0.000461 0.001005 0.002252 0.005564
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000057 0.000113 0.000226 0.000481 0.001080 0.002503 0.006433
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000053 0.000106 0.000216 0.000471 0.001083 0.002579 0.006854
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.000048 0.000097 0.000202 0.000448 0.001052 0.002567 0.007024
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.000045 0.000095 0.000199 0.000453 0.001092 0.002741 0.007768
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.000045 0.000095 0.000204 0.000475 0.001176 0.003047 0.008973
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.000042 0.000090 0.000198 0.000469 0.001189 0.003158 0.009598